optimal bid
Thu, 10/24/2024 - 11:36 — admin
| Publication Type | Conference Paper |
| Year of Publication | 2024 |
| Authors | Albert Solà Vilalta, F.-Javier Heredia |
| Conference Name | EURO24, 33rd European Conference on Operational Research |
| Conference Date | 30/06-3/07/2024 |
| Conference Location | Technical University of Denmark (DTU), Copenhagen, Denmark. |
| Type of Work | Contributed presentation |
| Key Words | electricity markets; energy communities, mathematical optimization; stochastic programming; research |
| Abstract | An energy community is a legal figure, recently coined by the European Union, that creates a framework to encourage active participation of citizens and local entities in the energy transition to net-zero. In this work, we study the optimal participation of energy communities in day-ahead, reserve, and intraday electricity markets. The motivation to do so is that there are time periods where energy communities cannot meet their internal demand, and periods where they generate excess electricity. This is because most of the electricity they generate comes from variable renewable resources like solar and wind. Electricity market participation is a natural way to ensure they meet their internal demand at all times, and, simultaneously, make the most of the excess electricity. We propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model that captures variable renewable and electricity price uncertainty. The multi-stage aspect models the di erent times at which variable renewable generation is considered to be known and electricity prices from di erent markets are revealed. This results in a very large scenario tree with 34 stages, and hence a very large optimization problem. Scenario reduction techniques are applied to make the problem tractable. Case studies with real data are discussed, considering di erent energy community configurations, to analyse proposed regulatory frameworks in Europe. The added value of considering stochasticity in this problem is also analysed. |
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Thu, 12/30/2021 - 13:20 — admin
| Publication Type | Tesis de Grau i Màster // BSc and MSc Thesis |
| Year of Publication | 2021 |
| Authors | Ignasi Mañé Bosch |
| Director | F-Javier Heredia |
| Tipus de tesi | MSc Thesis |
| Titulació | Master in Statistics and Operations Reseafrch |
| Centre | Facultat de matemàtiques i Estadística |
| Data defensa | 18/10/2021 |
| Nota // mark | 9.5 |
| Key Words | teaching; electricity markets; multistage stochastic programming |
| Abstract | For many political and economic reasons, over the last decades, electricity markets in developed countries have been liberalised. Markets regulated by governments in which prices were set by the competent authority are now the exception. In this new setting, electricity agents, both consumers and producers, compete to maximise their pro tability in a series of auctions designed to efficiently match supply and demand. Many energy producers manage together wind and thermal generation units to meet their contractual obligations such as bilateral contracts, as well as bid on the electric market to sell their production capacity. This master thesis explore different multi-stage stochastic programming models for generation companies to nd optimal bid functions in electric spot markets. The explored models not only capture the uncertainty of electric prices of different markets and
financial products, but also couples together wind and thermal generation units, offering producers that combine both technologies a more suitable approach to nd their best possible bidding strategy among the space of possible actions. |
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Tue, 07/13/2021 - 10:51 — admin
| Publication Type | Conference Paper |
| Year of Publication | 2021 |
| Authors | Marlyn Dayana Cuadrado Guevara; F.-Javier Heredia |
| Conference Name | 31st European Conference on Operational Research. |
| Conference Date | 11-14/07/2021 |
| Conference Location | Athens |
| Type of Work | Invited presentation |
| ISBN Number | ISBN 978-618-85079-1-3 |
| Key Words | research; multistage stochastich programming; virtual power plants; electricity markets; scenarios tree generation |
| Abstract | The presence of renewables in electricity markets optimization have generated a high level of uncertainty in the data, which has led to a need for applying stochastic optimization to model this kind of problems. In this work, we apply Multistage Stochastic Programming (MSP) using scenario trees to represent energy prices and wind power generation. We developed a methodology of two phases where, in the first phase, a procedure to predict the next day for each random parameter of the MSP models is used, and, in the second phase, a set of scenario trees are built through Forward Tree Construction Algorithm (FTCA) and a modified Dynamic Tree Generation with a Flexible Bushiness Algorithm (DTGFBA). This methodology was used to generate scenario trees for the Multistage Stochastic Wind Battery Virtual Power Plant model (MSWBVPP model), which were based on MIBEL prices and wind power generation of a real wind farm in Spain. In addition, we solved three di erent case studies corresponding to three di erent
hypotheses on the virtual power plant’s participation in electricity markets. Finally, we study the relative performance of the FTCA and DTGFBA scenario trees, analysing the value of the stochastic solution through the Forecasted Value of the Stochastic Solution (FVSS) and the classical VSS for the 366 daily instances of the MSWBVPP problem
spanning a complete year. |
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Mon, 11/30/2020 - 19:17 — admin
| Publication Type | Thesis |
| Year of Publication | 2020 |
| Authors | Marlyn Dayana Cuadrado Guevara |
| Academic Department | Dept. of Statistics and Operations Research. Prof. F.-Javier Heredia, advisor. |
| Number of Pages | 194 |
| University | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya |
| City | Barcelona |
| Degree | PhD Thesis |
| Key Words | research; Battery energy storage systems; Electricity markets; Ancillary services market; Wind power generation; Virtual power plants; Multistage Stochastic programming; phd thesis |
| Abstract | The presence of renewables in energy systems optimization have generated a high level of uncertainty in the data, which has led to a need for applying stochastic optimization to modelling problems with this characteristic. The method followed in this thesis is Multistage Stochastic Programming (MSP). Central to MSP is the idea of representing uncertainty (which, in this case, is modelled with a stochastic process) using scenario trees. In this thesis, we developed a methodology that starts with available historical data; generates a set of scenarios for each random variable of the MSP model; defines individual scenarios that are used to build the initial stochastic process (as a fan or an initial scenario tree); and builds the final scenario trees that are the approximation of the stochastic process. |
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Tue, 05/15/2018 - 16:25 — admin
| Publication Type | Journal Article |
| Year of Publication | 2018 |
| Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Marlyn D. Cuadrado; Cristina Corchero |
| Journal Title | Computers and Operations Research |
| Volume | 96 |
| Pages | 316-329 |
| Journal Date | 08/2018 |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| ISSN Number | 0305-0548 |
| Key Words | research; Battery energy storage systems; Electricity markets; Ancillary services market; Wind power generation; Virtual power plants; Stochastic programming; paper |
| Abstract | The recent cost reduction and technological advances in medium- to large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS) makes these devices a true alternative for wind producers operating in electricity markets. Associating a wind power farm with a BESS (the so-called virtual power plant (VPP)) provides utilities with a tool that converts uncertain wind power production into a dispatchable technology that can operate not only in spot and adjustment markets (day-ahead and intraday markets) but also in ancillary services markets that, up to now, were forbidden to non-dispatchable technologies. What is more, recent studies have shown capital cost investment in BESS can be recovered only by means of such a VPP participating in the ancillary services markets. We present in this study a multi-stage stochastic programming model to find the optimal operation of a VPP in the day-ahead, intraday and secondary reserve markets while taking into account uncertainty in wind power generation and clearing prices (day-ahead, secondary reserve, intraday markets and system imbalances). A case study with real data from the Iberian electricity market is presented. |
| URL | Click Here |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.cor.2018.03.004 |
| Preprint | http://hdl.handle.net/2117/118479 |
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Tue, 01/30/2018 - 21:12 — admin
| Publication Type | Journal Article |
| Year of Publication | 2018 |
| Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Julián Cifuentes-Rubiano; Cristina Corchero |
| Journal Title | Journal of Environmental Management |
| Volume | 207 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 12 |
| Start Page | 432 |
| Journal Date | February 2018 |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| ISSN Number | 0301-4797 |
| Key Words | research; OR in Energy; Stochastic Programming; Risk Management; Electricity market; Emissions reduction; paper |
| Abstract | There are many factors that influence the day-ahead market bidding strategies of a generation company (GenCo) within the framework of the current energy market. Environmental policy issues are giving rise to emission limitation that are becoming more and more important for fossil-fueled power plants, and these must be considered in their management. This work investigates the influence of the emissions reduction plan and the incorporation of the medium-term derivative commitments in the optimal generation bidding strategy for the day-ahead electricity market. Two different technologies have been considered: the high-emission technology of thermal coal units and the low-emission technology of combined cycle gas turbine units. The Iberian Electricity Market (MIBEL) and the Spanish National Emissions Reduction Plan (NERP) defines the environmental framework for dealing with the day-ahead market bidding strategies. To address emission limitations, we have extended some of the standard risk management methodologies developed for financial markets, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), thus leading to the new concept of Conditional Emission at Risk (CEaR). This study offers electricity generation utilities a mathematical model for determining the unit’s optimal generation bid to the wholesale electricity market such that it maximizes the long-term profits of the utility while allowing it to abide by the Iberian Electricity Market rules as well as the environmental restrictions set by the Spanish National Emissions Reduction Plan. We analyze the economic implications for a GenCo that includes the environmental restrictions of this National Plan as well as the NERP’s effects on the expected profits and the optimal generation bid. |
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| DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.010 |
| Preprint | http://hdl.handle.net/2117/114024 |
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Fri, 07/07/2017 - 10:16 — admin
Mon, 07/18/2016 - 18:43 — admin
| Publication Type | Conference Paper |
| Year of Publication | 2016 |
| Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Cristina Corchero; Marlyn D. Cuadrado |
| Conference Name | 28th European Conference on Operational Research |
| Series Title | Conference Handbook |
| Pagination | 322 |
| Conference Date | 3-6/07/2016 |
| Conference Location | Poznan, Poland |
| Type of Work | contributed presentation. |
| Key Words | research; VPP; wind generation; battery energy storage system; stochastic programming; electricity market; optimal bid |
| Abstract | The recent cost reduction and technologic advances in medium to large scale Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) makes these devices a real choice alternative for wind producers operating in electricity markets. The association of a wind power farm with a BESS (the so called Virtual Power Plant VPP) provides utilities with a tool to turn the uncertainty wind power production into a dispatchable technology enabled to operate not only in the spot and adjustment markets (day-ahead and intraday markets) but also in ancillary services markets that, up to now, was forbidden to non-dispatchable technologies. Even more, recent studies have shown that the capital cost investment in BESS can only be recovered through the participation of such a VPP in the ancillary services markets. We present in this study a stochastic programming model to find the optimal participation of a VPP to the day-ahead market and secondary reserve markets (the most relevant ancillary service market) where the uncertainty in wind power generation and markets prices (day-ahead ancillary services) has been considered. A case study with real data from the Iberian Electricity Market is presented. |
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Thu, 09/03/2015 - 10:25 — admin
Thu, 09/03/2015 - 10:14 — admin
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